Friday, August 1, 2008

Oil rally loses steam


NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Crude prices edged up Friday as investors mulled a mixed report on the nation's labor market and renewed tension between Iran and Israel.
Light, sweet crude for September delivery rose $1.02 to settle at $125.10 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, losing most of the gains made earlier in the day.
The contract spiked more than $4 earlier following hawkish comments by a key Israeli politician regarding Iran's alleged nuclear weapons program.
Israeli Deputy Prime Minister Shaul Mofaz said that Iran is on a path toward a "major breakthrough'' in its nuclear weapons program which he called "unacceptable,'' according to published reports.
"The Israeli news is all over the market," said Stephen Schork, an oil industry analyst and publisher of the industry newsletter, The Schork Report. But the rally was a "knee-jerk reaction," he added.
Iran is OPEC's second-largest oil producer and signs of instability in the region can cause volatility in the oil market.
Investors worry that a military conflict with Iran could disrupt the flow of oil exports through the strategic Strait of Hormuz and further restrict tight supplies of crude.
But prices quickly retreated as investors put Mofaz's comments "in perspective," according to Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Alaron Trading. "Cooler heads are prevailing," he said.
Jobs report. Before becoming focused on Iran, the oil market had been preoccupied with broader economic trends, including the health of the U.S. jobs market.
The U.S. Labor Department reported earlier Friday that
employers cut jobs in July, for the seventh straight month, and that the unemployment rate rose to a four-year high.
Payrolls shrank by 51,000 jobs in the month but economists surveyed by Briefing.com had been forecasting a loss of 75,000 jobs.
The unemployment rate rose to 5.7% from a 5.5% reading in June. It was the worst reading since March 2004, and slightly worse than economists' forecast of a 5.6% rate.
"But the jobs report can be read in two different ways," Flynn said.
It suggests that rising unemployment will continue to undercut consumer confidence and further diminish demand for gasoline. On the other hand, the total number of jobs lost in the month was well below economists' expectations, suggesting that the nation's labor market may be recovering.
"The economy is pulling us one way geopolitics pulling us the other way," Flynn said. "It's going to be a tug-of-war until the end of the day."
Other markets. On Wall Street, meanwhile, the jobs report and bleak financial results from General Motors weighed on stocks.
The ailing automaker reported a huge second-quarter net loss of $15.5 billion due to restructuring charges and declining sales. GM's (
GM, Fortune 500) results highlighted the challenges facing the auto industry as a whole.
Separately, Ford Motor (
F, Fortune 500) and Toyota Motor (TM) both reported sharp drops in July sales as high gas prices and a weak economy continue to plague the already battered sector.
Crude futures often benefit from falling stock prices as many investors see oil as a safe-haven investment.
Gas prices. Even as the auto industry reels, gas prices have fallen for 15 days in a row, according to motorist group AAA.
Regular unleaded gas
fell 1.1 cents to a nationwide average price of $3.898 a gallon, AAA's daily survey showed.
The average price for regular has fallen more than 21 cents since hitting a record high of $4.114 at the pump on July 16, according to AAA data.

Fuel prices fall for 14th day in a row


NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Fuel prices fell for the 14th straight day, with gasoline approaching $3.90 a gallon, a daily survey of gas station credit card swipes showed Thursday.
Gasoline: The nationwide average price of regular unleaded gas fell 1.7 cents to $3.909 a gallon, a level not seen since late May, according to a nationwide survey from motorist advocacy group AAA.
The average price for regular has fallen more than 20 cents since hitting a record high of $4.114 at the pump on July 16, where they stayed for two days, according to AAA data.
Gas prices have been following a decline in oil prices, which have been driven lower by worries that pricey fuel is slowing demand.
Ethanol: High gas prices have caused many drivers, particularly those in regions with strong agricultural industries such as the Midwest, to switch to ethanol as their fuel of choice.
The price of E85, an 85% ethanol blend which burns cleaner than straight gasoline and is made primarily from corn, fell 1.1 cents to $3.155 a gallon on average, AAA reported.
While ethanol is derived from renewable sources, it is less efficient than gasoline. As a result, a car running on E85 would pay the equivalent of $4.151 per gallon to get the same mileage as gas, the AAA survey estimated.
Diesel: The average price of diesel fuel, which is used to power most trucks and commercial vehicles, fell to $4.698 a gallon from $4.714, according to AAA.
Diesel prices have climbed more than 59% in the last 12 months. And because diesel is used to transport goods, the high prices have affected the prices of other items.
State prices: The AAA survey averages data from credit card swipes at 85,000 fuel stations around the country, and gas remains
above $4 a gallon in 13 states.
Gas in Alaska, the state with the highest prices, fell to an average of $4.636 a gallon from $4.648 the previous day. Hawaii, the state with the second highest prices, saw average prices rise slightly to $4.507. California, the state in third place, saw prices slip to $4.266 on average, the AAA survey said.
Drivers in Oklahoma, the state with the cheapest gas, saw prices fall to $3.636 from $3.655 a gallon the day before. In Minnesota, the next cheapest state for gas, drivers paid $3.655 on average, followed by Ohio at $3.669.
Drivers in Hawaii, the state with the most expensive diesel, saw diesel prices rise to $5.409 a gallon. Diesel was cheapest in Oklahoma at $4.473, according to the AAA survey.